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比特币正在上涨。为什么价格需要达到这个关键水平才能结束对加密的担忧。

Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies advanced on Monday to start what could be a busy week. There are plenty of catalysts in the stock market likely to leak over into digital assets at a time when Bitcoin remains vulnerable to further declines.

比特币和其他加密货币周一上涨,开始了可能忙碌的一周。在比特币仍然容易遭受进一步下跌之际,股市中有许多催化剂可能会渗透到数字资产中。

The price of Bitcoin rose 3% over the past 24 hours to above $63,000, remaining firmly below its 50-day moving average around $65,000 -- an important technical level. The largest digital asset hit an all-time high near $74,000 in mid-March but has since languished, slipping lower in recent weeks and becoming more reactive to wider risk sentiment -- including to the upside -- spurred by action in the stock market.

比特币的价格在过去24小时内上涨了3%,至63,000美元以上,仍稳低于其50天移动平均线65,000美元左右,这是一个重要的技术水平。最大的数字资产在3月中旬创下历史新高,接近74,000美元,但此后一直萎靡不振,最近几周下滑,在股市走势的刺激下,对更广泛的风险情绪(包括上行情绪)变得更加敏感。

"Cryptocurrencies are being helped by increased risk traction in stock markets. Still, there is also internal pressure," said Alex Kuptsikevich, an analyst at broker FxPro. "Bitcoin ... has been finding plenty of buyer interest over the past two months, on a decline towards $60,000. A failure below it could trigger something of a panic sell-off. The positive scenario, in our opinion, will become the main one with a rise above $65,000, fixing the price at the 50-day moving average."

“股票市场风险牵引力的增加正在帮助加密货币。尽管如此,内部压力仍然存在。” 经纪商FxPro的分析师亚历克斯·库普齐克维奇说。“比特币... 在过去的两个月中吸引了大量买家的兴趣,跌至60,000美元。跌破该水平可能会引发恐慌性抛售。我们认为,积极情景将成为主要情景,涨幅超过65,000美元,将价格固定在50天移动平均线上。”

With Bitcoin at risk of deepening declines, this week could be key for deciding appetite among traders amid a busy schedule of macroeconomic catalysts. Bitcoin has shown itself to be largely correlated to other risk-sensitive assets, moving in step with stocks and the S&P 500 index.

由于比特币面临进一步下跌的风险,在繁忙的宏观经济催化剂中,本周可能是决定交易者胃口的关键。事实证明,比特币与其他风险敏感资产在很大程度上相关,与股票和标准普尔500指数同步。

Stocks and cryptos are likely to react this week to U.S. inflation data releases, with the producer-price index and consumer-price index due on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively. The dominant narrative in markets remains the question of whether inflation is slowing sufficiently to prompt the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in the coming months, and officials will need to see signs of slower inflation to do so.

股票和加密货币本周可能会对美国通胀数据发布做出反应,生产者价格指数和消费者物价指数分别将于周二和周三公布。市场的主导说法仍然是通货膨胀放缓是否足以促使美联储在未来几个月内降息,官员们需要看到通货膨胀放缓的迹象才能降息。

Beyond Bitcoin, Ether -- the second-largest crypto by market cap -- rose 2.5% to just shy of $3,000. Smaller tokens or altcoins were also higher, with Solana advancing 2% and Ripple up less than 1%. Memecoins were more buoyant, with Dogecoin jumping 6% and Shiba Inu 3% in the  green.

除比特币外,市值第二大加密货币以太币上涨2.5%,至略低于3,000美元。较小的代币或山寨币也走高,其中索拉纳上涨了2%,瑞波币上涨了不到1%。模因币更具活力,狗狗币上涨了6%,柴犬上涨了3%。


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